Several exit polls on Saturday predicted that Prime Minister Narendra Modi could retain power for a third consecutive term, with the BJP-led NDA expected to win a huge majority in the Lok Sabha polls.
The ruling alliance is most likely to open its tally in Tamil Nadu and Kerala and sweep Karnataka, but could see a decline in its tally in states like Bihar, Rajasthan and Haryana, according to multiple pollsters.
The Republic TV-P Marq poll claimed that the ruling alliance could win up to 359 seats and the opposition bloc INDIA could win 154 seats in the 543-member Lok Sabha. The Republic TV-Matrize poll gave 353 to 368 seats to the NDA and 118 to 133 seats to the Opposition.
The Jan Ki Baat poll gave 362 to 392 seats to the ruling NDA and 141 to 161 to the Opposition alliance. India TV-CNX gave them 371-401 and 109-139 seats, respectively, while the corresponding tally predicted by News Nation was 342-378 and 153-169, respectively.
At the time of filing this report, the figures for 16 states came from India Today-Axis’ My India exit poll, which said the NDA is projected to comfortably win between 361 and 401 seats in the Lok Sabha, driven for a strong performance in Karnataka, Madhya. Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. Meanwhile, the opposition bloc INDIA is emerging as a distant second and is estimated to win between 131 and 166 seats in the 543-member Lok Sabha.
In Delhi, which sends seven members to the Lok Sabha, according to the India Today-Axis My India poll, the BJP is expected to win 6-7 seats, dealing a blow to the INDIA bloc. The pollster predicted at most one seat for the Congress-AAP combine and none for the independents.
In Maharashtra’s neighboring state of Gujarat, the India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll has predicted that the ruling BJP is likely to win 25-26 seats out of the 26 Lok Sabha seats up for grabs.
The Axis India Today My India also predicted that the BJP could continue to dominate another neighboring state of Maharashtra, i.e. Madhya Pradesh. According to the survey, the party is expected to win 28-29 seats in the state. Congress is not expected to open its account in MP, or it could go home with just one seat, according to the survey.
In Goa, which is India’s smallest state, the India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll projected that there could be a neck-and-neck fight, with the NDA and the INDIA bloc expected to win one seat each.
In the neighboring Congress-ruled state of Karnataka, despite the uproar from the saffron party which is projected to win better than its previous record of 25 seats in 2019, the BJP-led NDA’s vote share is expected to decline. reduce this time according to India Today-Axis My India Survey, with Congress being the main winner.
Karnataka Deputy Chief Minister DK Shivakumar on Saturday said he has no faith in the exit polls and predicted that the Congress will cross double digits in the state.
362-392
NDA exit poll according to Jan Ki Baat
371-401
NDA exit poll according to India TV-CNX
342-378
NDA exit poll according to News Nation
353-368
NDA exit poll according to Republic TV-Matrize
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